Midweek Premiership Preview






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30 October 2006

Midweek Premiership PreviewFootball

Going into game-week four of the Champions League, Chelsea, Liverpool and Man United could book their passage to the knock-out stages with two games to spare, while a home win for Arsenal would make qualification the closest thing to a mathematical certainty.

Though any meeting of Chelsea and Barcelona should whet the appetite, Tuesday night's game at the Nou Camp will probably lack the tension of recent knockout-stage encounters. After winning the tie at Stamford Bridge two weeks ago, Chelsea have a 100% record in Group A, and need just a point to ensure qualification. With a final home tie still to come against whipping boys Levski Sofia, the Blues are under no pressure to chase a win against the Catalans.

In spite of this, the Special One won't be doing his Dutch counterpart any favours. Though Mourinho and opposite number Frank Rijkaard, have been far more conciliatory in the build up to the recent encounters, the Chelsea boss knows that if he could conjure a win, it would push Barca into a difficult position. Along with the defeat at Stamford Bridge, Barca dropped two points in Bremen, so a further loss here would leave them needing maximum points from their two remaining games.

Despite doubts over Chelsea's £55million strike-force, both Shevchenko and Drogba travelled with the team to Spain. Mourinho must now balance the chance to blood some of his squad players while protecting his prize assets, against the opportunity to push the reigning European Champions close to elimination.

Pinnacle Sports have priced Barcelona as marginal favourites - 1.806 (0/scratch & -0.5) - reflecting their greater motivation to win the tie, with Chelsea - who have failed to win three Champions League encounters at the Nou Camp - 2.14 (0/scratch & +0.5).

Things should be rosy at Liverpool. On Saturday, the Reds enjoyed a comfortable home win over Aston Villa - who arrived as the Premiership's only unbeaten side - and on Tuesday night against Bordeaux, they can ensure progression in the Champions League with two games in hand. However, with doubts over captain, Steven Gerrard's future at the club resurfacing, and Rafa 'the Rotator' drawing growing criticism for constant tinkering with formations, all is not well at Anfield.

Leading online sportsbook Pinnacle Sports doesn't see these issues spoiling Liverpool's chances on the pitch against the Ligue 1 visitors, rating the Pool as one goal favourites on the Asian Handicap - 1.769 (-1), with the French opponents - 2.20 (+1). With just one point from three games, this becomes a must-win game for Bordeaux, but fortress-Anfield is one of the last places Ricardo Gomes would want to come chasing a win, particularly with an injury list running to five key players. Liverpool have lost just once in 28 home games in all competitions in front of the Kop.

Alex Ferguson was probably the happiest Premiership manager on Saturday night. Manchester United produced one of their most polished performances for a long time, brushing aside third placed Bolton 4-0 with consummate ease. Key to the victory was Wayne Rooney's hat-trick, his first goals since the opening game of the season. The Red Devils, therefore, travel to Copenhagen on a high, looking to wrap up qualification, which they are widely expected to achieve with some ease, rated 1.877 (-1) by Pinnacle Sports.

Though Copenhagen (2.05, +1) are a stronger proposition on home soil, they are Champions League rookies, who showed their inexperience at home to United, where the 3-0 defeat could have been much worse. The Danish side have failed to score in their three Group F games to date, illustrating a lack of quality in the final third, which could well be their undoing again on Wednesday night.

Last year's beaten finalists, Arsenal, still have work to do to ensure qualification from Group G, following a 1-0 defeat to CSKA Moscow in the Russian capital. The Gunners were hard done by, as Thierry Henry had a perfectly good equaliser ruled out, but they have the perfect opportunity for revenge on Wednesday night. CSKA are yet to concede from three Champions League games, but are still rated considerable under-dogs, 2.03 (+1 & +1.5), with the Londoners 1.901 (-1 & -1.5). The match odds are a reflection of the strength of Arsenal's reputation at home, consistently one of the Premiership's most prolific attacking sides, along with the generally held perception that Russian teams are weak on the road.

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