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UK
Casino Times
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Articles
13 April 2007
Grand
National Betting Preview And Tips
The world's greatest
steeple chase takes place this weekend over Aintree's famous
fences.
The first official Grand
National was run in 1839, and since that time its popularity
has grown to make it one of the most popular events in the
British sports calendar. On Saturday the nation will be
glued to the television for the 10 minutes it takes to
complete the 4m 4f course over 30 towering
fences.
Given the unique
challenges this race presents, punters need all the help
they can get.
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Most housewives will be
getting their pin out on Saturday morning to make their
selection for the Grand National, and with so many factors
to take into consideration, more seasoned gamblers could be
forgiven for following suit. However, despite being such an
unpredictable race there are some very solid trends that
provide a better alternative.
Narrowing Down the
Field
Weight is always a
critical factor to consider when analysing handicapped horse
races but given the extreme test of jumping and stamina the
National presents, it assumes critical significance. Only
five winners since the war have carried 11st 5lb (including
Red Rum twice), so it will pay to concentrate on those
horses weighted below that crucial figure. In 2006 only one
of the nine horses that completed the course carried more
than 11 stone, and all were aged between 9-12. Age provides
another reliable way of thinning down the field. Punters are
advised to only concentrate on runners within the 8-12yo
bracket, as in the last 66 years no horse younger than eight
has won the race, while you have to go back 83 years for a
winner aged over 12.
It is probably stating the
obvious but given the extreme length of the race any Grand
National contender must have proven stamina over at least 3
miles, and be a reliable jumper, as no other steeple chase
presents a greater challenge. Given the age constraints
already outlined this will logically point toward a class
horse which has already proved its worth in a valuable
chase, which is another point to look out for.
With over GBP400,000 on
offer to the winner, it is no surprise that some trainers
spend all year targeting horses at this one race. Those
entrants campaigned with this race in mind, will stand a
better chance, and will probably have avoided the rigours of
Cheltenham, which was only 4.5 weeks previous.
Along with those issues
already outlined, any gambler looking to have a bet on the
National should take into consideration the usual
considerations for any run-of-the-mill race. This includes
questioning whether the horse goes on the ground (forecasted
as Good), has it been running well recently, and is the
stable is hot or not?
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